Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002193 0.002317 0.002447 0.002596 0.002762 0.002943 0.003157
2025-02-16 0.002001 0.002170 0.002358 0.002586 0.002857 0.003175 0.003584
2025-02-23 0.001903 0.002107 0.002344 0.002644 0.003022 0.003497 0.004161
2025-03-02 0.001787 0.002007 0.002269 0.002613 0.003067 0.003667 0.004569
2025-03-09 0.001682 0.001909 0.002186 0.002558 0.003065 0.003767 0.004891
2025-03-16 0.001639 0.001882 0.002184 0.002605 0.003201 0.004072 0.005586
2025-03-23 0.001596 0.001851 0.002176 0.002638 0.003318 0.004364 0.006341
2025-03-30 0.001537 0.001795 0.002128 0.002611 0.003341 0.004510 0.006873
2025-04-06 0.001470 0.001725 0.002056 0.002544 0.003294 0.004530 0.007158
2025-04-13 0.001422 0.001678 0.002013 0.002514 0.003302 0.004644 0.007682
2025-04-20 0.001346 0.001589 0.001909 0.002388 0.003145 0.004442 0.007413
2025-04-27 0.001316 0.001562 0.001889 0.002385 0.003186 0.004609 0.008105
2025-05-04 0.001301 0.001555 0.001899 0.002433 0.003323 0.004994 0.009621
2025-05-11 0.001274 0.001530 0.001882 0.002437 0.003387 0.005250 0.010979
2025-05-18 0.001263 0.001528 0.001898 0.002493 0.003550 0.005759 0.013800
2025-05-25 0.001230 0.001494 0.001864 0.002468 0.003559 0.005922 0.015456
2025-06-01 0.001193 0.001453 0.001818 0.002418 0.003517 0.005954 0.016546
2025-06-08 0.001183 0.001448 0.001827 0.002461 0.003658 0.006486 0.021844
2025-06-15 0.001170 0.001439 0.001828 0.002491 0.003778 0.007008 0.029764
2025-06-22 0.001144 0.001412 0.001800 0.002467 0.003783 0.007198 0.035862
2025-06-29 0.001111 0.001372 0.001752 0.002406 0.003704 0.007112 0.037751
2025-07-06 0.001088 0.001347 0.001724 0.002379 0.003697 0.007256 0.045699
2025-07-13 0.001045 0.001291 0.001649 0.002265 0.003490 0.006716 0.036209